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Pack EV · Odds Grades · Redemption Tests

Head to head · 2026-08-05

Collector Crypt vs Courtyard

Both sell a $50.00 pack containing one graded Pokémon card. Collector Crypt advertises 1.103 of value per dollar. Courtyard advertises 0.970. Same product, same price, and one of them is telling you upfront that the pack is worth less than it costs.

That difference is the most interesting thing about this matchup, and it is not the one most comparisons lead with.

The honest-advertising gap

Collector Crypt’s $50.00 machine publishes an expected value of $55.14 — a 10.3% surplus. Then it publishes an 85% buyback beside it, and 46.87 is what you actually realise — 0.937 per dollar. The surplus is real on the shelf and gone at the till.

Courtyard skips that round trip and publishes $48.50 as the average item value on its $50.00 pack. No surplus to advertise, none to claw back.

Collector Crypt's $50 pack screen showing $55.14 expected value alongside an 85% buyback rate.
Collector Crypt's $50 machine: $55.14 expected value advertised, 85% buyback printed beside it · captured
Courtyard's $50 Pokémon Pro Pack odds panel, showing tier bands of 64% at $35-$45, 13% at $45-$50, 20% at $50-$100, 3% at $100-$200 and 0.1% at $200-$800, with a stated average item value of $48.50.
Courtyard's $50 pack: average item value stated as $48.50 — below the price, with no surplus to claw back · captured

The two platforms end up in a similar place; only one of them takes you the long way round. We think that is worth more credit than it usually gets. A number that flatters and then quietly corrects itself is harder to act on than a number that was honest to begin with.

Side by side

Collector Crypt and Courtyard compared across published terms
Collector CryptCourtyard
Advertised value, $50 packCourtyard's is below 1.00 — it says the pack is worth less than you pay1.103 per $10.970 per $1
Instant buybackCollector Crypt puts the number where you can use it85–93%, published per machineOffered, with the rate kept off the odds screen
Marketplace seller feeCourtyard advantage; Collector Crypt's 2% surfaces only at settlement2% — we measured it on-chain0%, advertised
Active listingsCollector Crypt has roughly double the depth~9,672~5,000
Shipping, 1 card to USCollector Crypt cheaper for one card$5.99~$7.01–7.69
Shipping, 19 cards to USCourtyard barely charges for volume — a decisive gap$59.99~$7.30
Import taxCourtyard is the only one showing an international buyer the real totalLeft to the buyer, billed on deliveryCollected upfront at checkout
Referral programmeCollector Crypt's is uncapped; Courtyard's stops at roughly $5510% of points, uncapped~$55 lifetime cap

One fee is advertised, the other we had to find

Courtyard puts “0% seller fees” on its pack pages. Collector Crypt deducts 2% when your listing sells, and we could not find that stated anywhere before selling — we established it by listing a card at $55.00, receiving $53.90, and tracing the missing $1.10 on Solana to their CARDS Treasury.

On a $55.00 card the difference is trivial. On a $5,000.00 sale it is $100.00 against nothing, which is the point at which a seller would want to have known.

Which one, for whom

Collector Crypt if…

  • You are in the US and redeeming one card at a time.
  • You want the deepest marketplace — roughly double the listings.
  • You want the buyback rate published beside the odds.
  • You are referring others. The programme is uncapped; Courtyard’s stops at about $55.00.

Courtyard if…

  • You are outside the US and want the landed cost before you commit.
  • You are redeeming in bulk — shipping barely moves with card count.
  • You intend to list rather than sell back, at 0% seller fee.
  • You would rather a platform did not advertise a surplus it takes back.

What neither of them changes

On Collector Crypt’s $50.00 machine, 80% of pulls land in a $30.00–$60.00band. On Courtyard’s, at least 77% land at or below the $50.00 you paid. Both are entertainment products with a house edge, and picking between them is choosing how you would like to lose slightly less on average — not whether you will.

If you want a specific card, both run marketplaces where you can buy it outright at a stated price, and neither the odds nor the edge applies to that.

Full reviews: Collector Crypt · Courtyard · the arithmetic behind these figures is in where the house edge actually is

Figures read from live purchase screens 2026-08-05 · shipping quotes taken by us · neither redemption completed end to end yet